Donald Trump’s approval ratings were a consistent subject of analysis throughout his presidency, deviating significantly from historical norms and offering insights into the polarized American political landscape. Unlike many of his predecessors, Trump never achieved a majority approval rating in any reputable national poll. His presidency was characterized by a relatively stable, albeit divided, base of support.
Data from Gallup, RealClearPolitics, and other polling aggregators consistently showed Trump’s approval rating hovering between the low 30s and mid-40s for the vast majority of his time in office. Peaks were generally brief and followed specific events, such as the initial stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, while dips often correlated with controversies, impeachment proceedings, or major political setbacks. He rarely, if ever, broke 50% approval in these polls.
Several factors contributed to this unique pattern. Trump’s divisive rhetoric and policies, particularly on issues like immigration, trade, and social issues, solidified strong support among his base but simultaneously alienated large segments of the population. His constant attacks on the media, coupled with the rise of partisan news outlets, further entrenched ideological divisions and made it difficult to achieve broad consensus.
The intensity of feeling towards Trump, both positive and negative, was exceptionally high. His supporters exhibited a deep loyalty and enthusiasm, often prioritizing his promises of economic nationalism and a return to traditional values. Conversely, his detractors expressed strong disapproval of his leadership style, policy decisions, and perceived lack of respect for democratic institutions. This passionate polarization meant that relatively few voters remained undecided or open to changing their opinions.
Comparing Trump’s approval ratings to those of past presidents reveals a stark contrast. Historically, presidents often experience a “honeymoon period” with high approval ratings at the beginning of their terms. Furthermore, events like national crises or military victories often lead to temporary surges in popularity. While Trump did see some fluctuations, his overall approval remained remarkably consistent, suggesting a deeply entrenched partisan divide that transcended specific events.
Exit polls from the 2020 presidential election confirmed the continued polarization. While Trump received a significant number of votes, particularly from white, working-class voters, he faced strong opposition from minority groups, women, and college-educated voters. These demographic divides mirrored the patterns observed in his approval ratings throughout his presidency.
In conclusion, Donald Trump’s approval ratings were a defining feature of his presidency. His inability to achieve majority approval, combined with the intensity of both support and opposition, reflected a deeply divided American electorate and a political landscape increasingly shaped by partisan identity.